Codex reset signals

Three live inputs this site watches for Codex resets. None of them currently changes the home page's probability — they have no backtestable history yet, so they're shown as context only. See /forecast-method/ for how they're scored and what it would take for one to count.

X hints

Not scored into the forecast · signal level 0/100 · as of

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Ladies and gentlemen... start... your... ENGINES. We are almost Tuesday and I promised a reset for Tuesday. Among some other things. See you soon.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Resets all propagated. That will be all. Have a fantastic weekend.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Global reset landing tomorrow 10am PST for all paid ChatGPT accounts. Apologies for the slow start with GPT-6.1 Sol, it's now back to running at expected speeds after the massive load spike in the fir

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Because usage on your primary dot is virtually unlimited at the moment, I can’t really give a reset. I need to come up with something new fast.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Reset all propagated. Enjoy.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Seeing some reports that the Pro 500 didn’t get the reset as expected earlier. Investigating and will make up for it

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Global reset by EOD. May the tokens do good things for you.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Day 6/ Reset

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

The day we reach perfection it will be resets from there onwards

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Put the reset in the bag. All propagated.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Day 8/ Reset

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Global reset landing by EOD PST time. Enjoy

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

What would you like with your side of reset? It's done.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

The reports of my reset button being lost are greatly exaggerated Day 10/ Reset

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Building apps with GPT-Live-1? Give them a voice that fits. Here’s how to shape a voice with a prompt or choose from new international preset voices: https://t.co/HtMsozvqE7

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

The nine new presets were created with native-speaking actors in French, German, Hindi, Japanese, and Korean. Check out our guide to get started: https://t.co/xetCNTG8Q1

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

People have escaped the TL and are asking me for resets on the street now. I’ll make little cards to hand out

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Day 15/ Nevermind, we're still cooking... and reset. Enjoy.

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Day 17/ Bet you thought we forgot, but no, it’s reset day today. Also good time to remind you to get Daybreak Blue access, it only takes 15 mins and you don’t want to have to do it in the middle of a

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

On codex cli updates. We've added reusable prompt presets, inline model and permission settings, and enterprise MCP sign-in. We've also fixed failures when resuming long sessions and added Windows cor

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

RT @fcoury: Presets are in Codex CLI 0.164.0 🎬 Save the prompts you repeat plus the model, reasoning and other settings you switch between…

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Day 20/ Rest and reset

resolved

Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.

Graduating from The Reset Company to The Token Company.

none

Fellow resetters, heads up that we're working on expanding the family of frontier models that power dots, including GPT-6 Astra and GPT-6.1 Terra and some others in the future. Terra brings speed and

OpenAI status

Not scored into the forecast · signal level 0/100 · as of

Full status ledger →
minor

Codex GitHub Review and Pull Request Failures

none

Elevated error rates for Codex and ChatGPT Work

critical

Issues with Codex

minor

Elevated errors across ChatGPT, Codex, and the API including the Agents API

none

Elevated error rates in Codex Cloud

minor

Dot in Codex may fail to create new threads

minor

Degraded performance in Codex and Work mode: Dot turn failures, delayed responses, and reduced proactivity

minor

Degraded performance in GPT-6.1 Sol Codex and Work mode

minor

Degraded performance in Codex and ChatGPT Work

minor

Degraded performance in ChatGPT, Codex, and APIs

major

Authentication errors for some users

GitHub complaints

Not scored into the forecast · signal level 0/100 · as of

Tested and rejected: a backtest found complaint volume doesn't lead resets (why).

2026-10-24: 17 2026-10-25: 15 2026-10-26: 22 2026-10-27: 19 2026-10-28: 19 2026-10-29: 15 2026-10-30: 17 2026-10-31: 13 2026-11-01: 13 2026-11-02: 17 2026-11-03: 13 2026-11-04: 22 2026-11-05: 15 2026-11-06: 12

Frequently asked questions

What are these three signals?

Recent public hints about a reset, OpenAI's own status feed, and GitHub issue activity on openai/codex — the three inputs to the probability numbers on the home page. See /forecast-method/ for exact weights and decay.

Why is a signal showing 'stale'?

Each signal is only trusted for a limited window after it was last fetched; once too old, it's marked stale and decays toward zero influence rather than being silently dropped or held fixed.